Expert adjustments of model forecasts : (Record no. 8078)

000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 02929cam a2200361 i 4500
001 - CONTROL NUMBER
control field 18193621
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER
control field OSt
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20160510173618.0
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 140619s2014 enk b 001 0 eng
010 ## - LIBRARY OF CONGRESS CONTROL NUMBER
LC control number 2014021767
020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER
International Standard Book Number 9781107441613 (pbk.)
040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE
Original cataloging agency Indian Institute for Human Settlements-Bangalore
Language of cataloging eng
Transcribing agency DLC
Description conventions rda
Modifying agency IIHS
042 ## - AUTHENTICATION CODE
Authentication code pcc
082 00 - DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION NUMBER
Classification number 330.0112 FRA
Edition number 23
Item number 008312
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Franses, Philip Hans.
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Expert adjustments of model forecasts :
Remainder of title theory, practice and strategies for improvement /
Statement of responsibility, etc Philip Hans Franses.
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT)
Place of publication, distribution, etc Cambridge :
Name of publisher, distributor, etc Cambridge University Press,
Date of publication, distribution, etc 2014.
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent xvi, 127 pages ;
Dimensions 24 cm
336 ## - Content type term (R)
Content type term (R) text
Source (NR) rdacontent
337 ## - Media Type (R)
Media type term (R) unmediated
Source (NR) rdamedia
338 ## - Carrier Type (R)
Carrier type term (R) volume
Source (NR) rdacarrier
504 ## - BIBLIOGRAPHY, ETC. NOTE
Bibliography, etc Includes bibliographical references (pages 119-125) and index.
505 ## - FORMATTED CONTENTS NOTE
Formatted contents note Machine generated contents note: Preface; 1. Introduction; 2. Optimal behavior of experts; 3. Observed behavior of experts; 4. How accurate are expert-adjusted forecasts?; 5. How can forecasts be improved?; 6. Conclusion, limitations and implications; Data appendix; References; Index.
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc "To what extent should anybody who has to make model forecasts generated from detailed data analysis adjust their forecasts based on their own intuition? In this book, Philip Hans Franses, one of Europe's leading econometricians, presents the notion that many publicly available forecasts have experienced an 'expert's touch', and questions whether this type of intervention is useful and if a lighter adjustment would be more beneficial. Covering an extensive research area, this accessible book brings together current theoretical insights and new empirical results to examine expert adjustment from an econometric perspective. The author's analysis is based on a range of real forecasts and the datasets upon which the forecasters relied. The various motivations behind experts' modifications are considered, and guidelines for creating more useful and reliable adjusted forecasts are suggested. This book will appeal to academics and practitioners with an interest in forecasting methodology"--
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc "This monograph aims to collect recent theoretical insights and various empirical results for a rapidly developing area concerning the analysis of business and economic forecasts. Strictly following econometric textbooks one would be tempted to assume that forecasts are the outcome of a careful modeling exercise and that the econometric model builder delivers the forecast to an end user"--
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Econometric models.
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Economic forecasting.
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Business forecasting.
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Econometrics.
Source of heading or term bisacsh
906 ## - LOCAL DATA ELEMENT F, LDF (RLIN)
a 7
b cbc
c orignew
d 1
e ecip
f 20
g y-gencatlg
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Source of classification or shelving scheme
Koha item type Book
Holdings
Withdrawn status Lost status Source of classification or shelving scheme Damaged status Not for loan Permanent Location Current Location Date acquired Source of acquisition Cost, normal purchase price Full call number Barcode Date last seen Cost, replacement price Price effective from Koha item type
          Indian Institute for Human Settlements, Bangalore Indian Institute for Human Settlements, Bangalore 2016-05-09 Shivaji/1419/12-04-2016 1488.13 330.0112 FRA 008312 008312 2016-05-10 1488.13 2016-05-09 Book
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